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AI coding improved a lot over 2025. In early 2025 LLMs still struggled with counting. Now they are capable of tool calling so they can just use a calculator. Frankly, I'd say AI coding may as well have not existed before mid-2025. The output wasn't really that good. Sure you could generate code but couldn't rely on a coding agent to make 2 line edits to a 1000 line file.


I don't doubt that they have improved a lot this year, but the same claims were being made last year as well. And the year before that. I still haven't seen anything that proves to me that people are truly that much more productive. They certainly _feel_ more productive, though.

Hell, the GP spent more than $50,000 this year on API calls alone and the results are... what again? Where is the innovation? Where are the tools that wouldn't have been possible to build pre-ChatGPT?

I'm constantly reminded of the Feynman quote: "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool."




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