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I see what you mean, but I think it's a lot less pernicious than astrology. There are plausible mechanisms, it's at least possible to do benchmarking, and it's all plugged into relatively short feedback cycles of people trying to do their jobs and accomplish specific tasks. Mechanical interpretability stuff might help make the magic more transparent & observable, and—surveillance concerns notwithstanding—companies like Cursor (I assume also Google and the other major labs, modulo self-imposed restrictions on using inference data for training) are building up serious data sets that can pretty directly associate prompts with results. Not only that, I think LLMs in a broader sense are actually enormously helpful specifically for understanding existing code—when you don't just order them to implement features and fix bugs, but use their tireless abilities to consume and transform a corpus in a way that helps guide you to the important modules, explains conceptual schemes, analyzes diffs, etc. There's a lot of critical points to be made but we can't ignore the upsides.




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