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Took a while but Wix / Webflow / SquareSpace / Wordpress did end up automating a bunch of work.


They did, but do you think there are more or fewer web development jobs now compared with the 90s?


There is a whole lot of brochure type web work that has disappeared, either to these site builders or Facebook. I don't know what happened to the people doing that sort of work but I would assume most weren't ready to write large React apps.


Why are you assuming that? How do you think all the new React jobs were filled? React developers don’t magically spring into existence with a full understanding of React out of nowhere, they grow into the job.


The web developer / web page ratio in 2025 is for sure way lower than it was in 1998.


Why should anybody care about that metric? People care about jobs.


More, but that doesn't say anything about the future.


Sure it does. It’s not a guarantee, but presuming that a pattern is likely to continue is not nothing. When a pattern is observed, the onus is on the “This time is different!” side to make their case.


The aim of AI is to automate almost everything. That sounds like a future quite different from any past.


If you don’t accept that an observed trend says anything about the future, you shouldn’t make unsupported assertions in the opposite direction. They say less.


AI aiming to automate everything is something new. That's the point. There was no AI in the past similar to what is slowly unfolding now. Not even close. If you disagree with the word "anything" i used, then yes i understand i shouldn't have used this word.




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