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The top 4th and 7th comment on the Stadia launch post on HN sort of predicted this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19432957

During those times I thought HN was being overly pessimistic as usual about a product being killed by Google, but now it is pretty understandable, especially as despite Google’s headstart that they were overtaken by Nvidia, Microsoft, and others in this space.



A reply to the 7th comment says "I'd say one promotion cycle for the top executives on the product, 2-3 more for the next tier of engineers/product folks to ship some cool stuff, then a year or two for the product to coast before no one wants to take on the technical debt. So I'll predict its shutdown will be announced by July 2022."

That prediction was so damn close.




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