Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

> COVID is pretty much negligible in many younger age groups

"Paediatricians in Israel, which has surged ahead in vaccinating its adult population, reported a sharp rise in covid-19 infections among young people, with more than 50 000 children and teens testing positive in January—more than Israel saw in any month during the first and second waves."

https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n383



Susceptible to infection, absolutely, but are they suffering severe symptoms or dying in large numbers? No.

A single metric (e.g. positive tests) is not enough to assess any severity here, and even those metrics come with caveats because all of our methods of determining them are imprecise.


A simulation from the economist gives ~2% chance of being hospitalized if you get COVID as a 29 yr old male with no comorbidities.

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/covid-pandemic-mort...


That's not what your link says, not specifically:

> Moreover, the database is not a representative sample of the sars-cov-2-positive population. Because it only contains records from people who have interacted with a medical service provider, it excludes those who weather the disease at home without medical assistance.

This will exclude the vast majority of people in younger age groups who were affected. Serology studies have shown us that in many densely populated places infection rates have been far into the double-digit percentages - if this statistic was true in the way you interpreted it, we would know that by now.


i.e. if a very large number of young people get sick, there will be sufficient severe cases among their population to fill up intensive care beds and there will also be many people with sequelae.

But in Germany and Europe children can't get vaccinated and by the time young adults can it will be September anyway.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: