Wouldn't the ability to refuse taking the test introduce bias? i.e. the 10% that do take it still may not be representative of the entire population. Likely better than the grocery store sample, but still not ideal
Yeah, that is still an issue. You can offer compensation to incentivize participation. And you can pre-select your sample (instead of random door-to-door) and require multiple follow ups with the selected persons to reduce nonresponse bias.
You can also do a separate phone survey in addition to surveying the test participants. Questions like "Do you think you have had COVID?" and "How many times per week do you leave the house?". If the responses for the test participants vary significantly from the phone survey participants, you can try and weight your data accordingly.
Sure, phone surveys for political purposes (presidential approval ratings etc.) have to deal with that all of the time. There are methods for estimating non-response impact. [0] One method of mitigating it that I've seen it to reach out again to non-responders. You then analyze their results to see how they differ from the baseline responders to estimate the non-responder population. If there's little/no difference, you can be fairly confident the risk of bias is low. It's called non-response follow up, and is a pretty common method.
There's also literature that suggests that you don't discard outlier values in the actual responders as they may help approximate the non-responder population, i.e., the non-outliers represent typical responders while outliers are more likely to represent non-responders [1]
Wow, downvoted for providing factual information on how researchers mitigate non-response bias. Didn't think there was anything controversial there. I'm willing to accept the additional downvoted for this comment though.
Not downvoted by me! Appreciate you sharing this information, it is helping me better understand how researchers mitigate non-response bias. Interesting stuff.